Monday, June 17th, 2019

Interest Rate Driven Oil Futures Options

Volatility has risen for options on oil futures. Usually this has to do with basic supply and demand issues and associated market uncertainty. This time it has to do with interest rate driven oil futures options. In short the Federal Reserve has been buying $85 Billion in treasury bills every month. This has served to keep interest rates low and help with the economic recovery in the USA. However, the Fed will now keep this up indefinitely. According to recent comments by Fed chairman Bernanke, the Fed will gradually ease off of this policy as the economy improves. As is often the case word or two by the Fed chairman can rile the markets. In order to make a profitable option trade , a trader needs a glimpse of the future. When we have interest rate driven oil futures options traders look to the Fed for a hint of where interest rates and the economy are going.