Trading Japanese Stock Options
November 28, 2011 by Jim Walker
Filed under Option Trading Education, Option Trading Tips, Options Trading Education, Options Trading Strategies, Options Trading Tips, Profitable Option Trading, Profitable Options Trading
Trading Japanese stock options may be one bright spot in the current dismal investment picture. As a virtual footnote to the financial news Japan expects to see two percent growth in its economy in 2012 versus a third of a percent this year. The financial and investment world has focused on the deteriorating sovereign debt crisis in Europe and the Capital Hill Comedy in which congress cannot come to grips with the US national debt. Meanwhile Japan has made progress in recovery from the worst earthquake and tsunami in its history. The result of the initial devastation in Japan was that nuclear power plants went out of operation. The news carried stories about possible nuclear meltdown and contamination of water and food supplies. What was not covered to the same degree was the fact that forty percent of the power to the Tokyo Electric Company power grid was lost. This area is the primary industrial district of Japan. Not only was there a problem with rolling blackouts in japan, but supply chains throughout the world have felt the pinch. Now, as Japanese recovery is in the works, trading Japanese stock options could be profitable. How to buy stock options most easily on Japanese stocks is to pick those trading in the USA as American Depository Receipts.
Many long term investors are, no doubt, looking at Japanese stocks as underpriced, when compared to forward looking earnings, the intrinsic value of these stocks. However, the post-earthquake, post tsunami Japanese industrial recovery is coming just as the global economic recovery is petering out. Here is where trading Japanese stock options, as opposed to buying Japanese stocks, comes into the picture. When we look, again, at the top stories of the day we see that the European Central Bank may need to put a cap on interest rates in order to avoid a financial disaster and renewed recession in Europe. Likewise, the perceived inability of the US congress to come to grips with necessary budget cuts and tax increases puts the US recovery in doubt. In regard to investing in the Japanese recovery all is not certain. Japan may just get its power grids back on line and industrial production up just in time for the second dip of a worldwide recession to reduce global demand. Such a scenario could well result in a much less impressive recovery and much less impressive performance of Japanese stocks. When to buy calls and when to buy puts will depend upon the belief of the trader as to whether the Japanese recovery or a faltering of the global picture will predominate with Japanese stocks.
In trading Japanese stock options traders can limit their risks as the most the buyer of an options contract can lose is the price of the contract. Also when buying, in stock options trading, one only invests the price of the options contract, not the price of the stock. These two factors provide risk limitation as well as investment leverage. Another feature of trading Japanese stock options is that it gives traders something to trade that is not purely a play on global economic recovery or failure of the same. The other factor here is the recovery from the tsunami. This is pretty much an assured thing. The unknown is how much of a global market Japan will have to sell to when it is fully recovered. As always how to trade options, on Japanese stocks, or any equities, is to fully research fundamentals of the stock or index in question and studiously follow technical pricing patterns along the way.
